Political Economy category archive

Headline:

Some banks try to escape TARP trap

Excerpt:

Wells Fargo’s decision Friday to slash its dividend may help the bank repay its $25 billion government investment sooner.

However, analysts say it will still take years, not months, for big banks to extricate themselves from the Treasury’s Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP.

More accurate headline:

Clowns trapped in clown car; regret designing it

Furrfu.

Bonddad analyzes the unemployment figures. Follow the link for the full analysis:

1.) The best read of job growth for the last expansion is a total of 8.2 million jobs created. 2.6 million jobs were lost in the last 4 months, or 31%. Since the recession began, we’ve lost 4.4 million jobs or 53%. There is no way to spin those numbers as anything except terrible.

2.) The number of people who worked part-time for economic reasons increased by 787,000. That’s also a ton of people. That number has increased by 3.7 million over the last 12 months — also a ton of people. That facts tells us two relevant data points. First, businesses are still cutting back sharply. Secondly, there is probably at least one more month of horrible job losses in the works; that number is simply too high for there not to be another serious round of job losses coming down the pike.

3.) Year over year, the unemployment rate of service occupations has increased from 6.7% to 9.1% the unemployment rate of natural resources, construction and maintenance has increased from 9.1% to 17.7% and the unemployment rate of production, transportation and material employment has increased from 6.6% to 13.1%.

4.) Hours worked is decreasing across a wide swath of industries.

Simply put, this is an incredibly ugly report.

It’s about time.

Calling it a “very difficult decision,” Wells Fargo & Co. on Friday slashed its quarterly dividend 85%, to 5 cents a share from 34 cents, in an effort to save $5 billion and help the company pay back the government’s recent investment in the firm.

Companies that are drowning who pretend they are still healthy by paying normal dividends act like fools.

No, wait.

Companies that pretend they are growing by selling boxes of air act like fools.

No, wait.

Wall Street bankers act like selfish gits.

There. Got it right.

Lloyd’s.

Bloomberg explains how certain Wall Street practices encourage the destruction of companies.

When you cut through the gibberish, it means, “The hell with stockholders, employees, customers, and the economic health of the country. I got mine.”

“Say you’ve lent $100 million to a company and you had bought $100 million in credit-default swaps,” said Henry Hu, a law professor at the University of Texas in Austin. “In that circumstance, the creditor really doesn’t care whether or not the company goes under.”

Following a meltdown last year in the relationship between prices on bonds and credit swaps after the Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. bankruptcy, basis traders often stand to make the most money if companies default. They can also profit by holding the trade until the debt matures or unwinding the position after the market value gap between the bonds and derivatives closes.

This, my friends, is fiduciary responsibility and good financial citizenship at its best.

And pigs fly.

The Promised Land of Republican Economic Theory. Bloomberg:

More than 600,000 Americans filed first-time claims for unemployment benefits last week for a fifth straight time as companies kept trimming costs.

First-time unemployment applications decreased by 31,000 to 639,000 in the week that ended Feb. 28, less than anticipated, from a 26-year high of 670,000 the prior week, the Labor Department said today in Washington. The number of people staying on benefit rolls eased from a record.

It’s not thousands of banks. It’s JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America and Wells Fargo who possess 64% of the nation’s banking assets. Paul Krugman:

One objection you keep hearing to nationalization pre-privatization as part of a bank restructuring effort is that the US financial system is just too big and complex.

(snip)

So as far as this discussion is concerned, we’ve got, like, four banks. The “thousands of banks” line is just a diversion.

Via Susie.

Writing resumes for a fee.

From Atrios:

There really is a growing disconnect between the world portrayed on the teevee and reality. For most people getting booted out of their homes and losing their jobs, or just being underemployed, is a far bigger deal than a crashing stock market.

The worst problems are limited to very few states.

Read the column here.

Via Andrew Sullilvan.

Ten companies, led by ConocoPhillips, Time Warner Inc. and recently acquired Merrill Lynch, are behind the bulk of the carnage that helped fuel the worst two-month start ever for the S&P 500 Index, which on Monday made another run through its November lows.

While the companies that make up the S&P 500 tallied a collective $114 billion in losses in the still-being-reported fourth quarter, the scenario would be remarkably different — and profitable — if 10 companies behind $131 billion in losses were removed from the picture, according to S&P’s senior index analyst Howard Silverblatt.

The other seven companies the article refers to are Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., Citigroup Inc., Wachovia Corp. (newly acquired by Wells Fargo & Co.), General Motors Corp., Symantec Corp., Devon Energy Corp., and Regions Financial Corp.

You know, the Masters of the Universe who pay bonuses for performance to retain highly talented executives.

Here.

I agree. If the Repulsicans threaten filibuster, let ’em filibuster. I’d be curious to know which cookbooks John “Boner” Boehner likes anyway.

(Yeah, I know he’s in the House, but who can pass up a name like that?)

Follow the link for the analysis:

. . . the problems in investment started in the residential area, but have since moved to all major subgroups. In addition, at the macro level, the drop in residential investment has been strong enough to make 8 of the last 11 quarters negative. In other words — it’s been bad for sometime.

(chart snipped)

Exports were the one solid performer — until last quarter when they dropped over 20%. Imports dropped as well due to the lack of consumer demand.

The bottom line is simple: there is no area of the economy looking good right now.

AIG is changing its name.

The new name:

Aaaaaarrrrrrrrrrrrggggggghhhhhhhhh.

MarketPlace Morning Report just told me over Marconi’s Magic Box that, in the current economic situation, there are still . . .

. . . relatively good alcohol sales.

Somehow, I suspect that sales of single malts are down and sales of Olde Razorblade are up.

This American Life explains how the Wall Street banks broke the banks, and, in the process, defines in plain language all the gibberish terms and acronyms that Wall Street bankers use to conceal their foolish greed. From the website:

The collapse of the banking system explained, in just 59 minutes. Our crack economics team, the guys who explained the mortgage crisis, Alex Blumberg and NPR’s Adam Davidson are back to help all of us understand the news. For instance, when we talk about an insolvent bank what does it actually mean, and why are we giving hundreds of billions of dollars to rich bankers who screwed up their own businesses. Also, two guys go to New Jersey to look at a toxic asset.

If you want to know what’s going on, listen to this show.

I’ll link to the audio when it is posted. The audio is available for streaming or downloading at the link above.

On the other side of the Big Pond (for perspective, one pound UK = a little less than one and a half dollars US):

The Guardian has revealed that the board of HBOS (the initials are apparently meaningless; it was a British Citigroup type thingee until it failed and got eated–ed.), which yesterday reported a £10.1bn loss for 2008, may have walked away with combined payments of up to £4.5m. None of the executives at HBOS were offered a place on the board of the merged group after Lloyds TSB rescued the collapsing bank.

Most of the focus last night was on Peter Cummings, the executive responsible for the HBOS division that caused huge losses. He is thought to have received one year’s salary and benefits of £800,000 when he left the bank last month and started receiving his £350,000-a-year pension at the age of 53. Executives close to 55 are entitled to have their pensions topped up, which suggests that Cummings’s £5.9m pension pot will have been enhanced.

The Booman reminds us of what tax rates used to be.

Note that he is not recommending returning to Eisenhower-era marginal tax rates; he is simply giving his other comments some perspective.

Nevertheless, this passage–almost an aside in the context of his larger article–illustrates why Republican Economic Theory (AKA the Laughable Curve), the theory that the cure-all for society’s ills is to make the rich richer, fails. The theory denies human nature.

The money doesn’t trickle down; it trickles out:

I want to ask you if you have ever looked at a chart of the highest marginal tax rates since the income tax was created in 1913? Take a look because it’s instructive. Obama has made some sweeping proposals, but he hasn’t proposed restoring tax rates to anything close to what they were for the first six years of Reagan’s administration, let alone the 91% rate that prevailed under Truman, Eisenhower, and Kennedy. Ask yourself a question. If every dollar a CEO made over $500,000 was taxed at 91%, would he or she bother asking for 20 million? Would any board even consider giving 18 million to the government just to give two million to their CEO? Of course not.

It’s the Republican way.

If they can’t make the rich richer, they will still shaft the poor.

This is not a commentary on the stimulus bill. Whether it will undo the damage of years of Republican rule is still a great unknown.

Rather, this points out what this kerfuffle reveals about Republicanism.

Deadender Republican Governors are talking about rejecting portions of the stimulus bill.

Not surprisingly, the portions they are talking about rejecting are the portions designed to help the unemployed.

Nothing better shows that the Republican Party does not care about working–or in this case, out-of-working–persons who are in that condition because of Republican Economic Theory.

John Cole sums it up.

The Republican Party–The Party of Privilege since 1868. A pox on the lot of ’em.

Not getting no more toasters from these folks. They’ve been nationalized and given to someone else.

Security Savings Bank, Henderson, NV

Heritage Community Bank, Glenwood, IL

You can bank on it.

The days of the little match girl appear to have succumbed to invitro fertilization.

Now it’s big match girls:

Drawn by payments of up to $10,000, an increasing number of women are offering to sell their eggs at U.S. fertility clinics as a way to make money amid the financial crisis.