Political Economy category archive

Bonddad (follow the link for the full analysis):

There is no good news in any of these releases. Simply put, manufacturing is in terrible shape.

No, not that green door, you lech you.

This green door.

Another wave, courtesy of the failed stewardship of the Republican Party:

Facing a drastic falloff in donations this year, the Philadelphia-area Toys for Tots campaign announced an “emergency toy rush” yesterday.

Contributions are down by nearly 20,000 toys compared with last year at this time, when about 40,000 toys had been collected, said Gunnery Sgt. Robert Putney, who leads the local effort for the U.S. Marine Corps Reserve.

Read about Philadelphia having to close libraries because, well, no income, no business transactions, no real estate value, no taxes. No taxes, no services.

Republican Economic Theory: Taxes are evil, therfore, let us screw the people so we can have our Bentleys.

Oh. Wait.

No Bentleys in the Big House.

Disgusting, sleazy, selfish, disgusting excuse for a political philosophy.

Pah!

Bonddad:

1.) The Fed has no interest rate moves left. This is it.

2.) The Fed is terrified about the economy.

Robert Reich, discussing the deflationary trend:

Rational consumers are starting to save whatever they can because they’re understandably worried about the future.

The sooner we have a major stimulus package, the better. The danger is that it will be too small.

Republican Economic Theory triumphant.

Housing stopped:

New starts dropped an eye-popping 18.9% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 625,000, the lowest since the Commerce Department began keeping records in 1959. According to similar records kept elsewhere, it’s the slowest pace of construction in the post-World War II period.

Starts were far lower than the 740,000 that economists surveyed by MarketWatch had been looking for. The monthly percentage drop was the most since a 26% decline in March 1984.

McClatchy:

It’s cheaper to fill up your car’s gas tank now than it was a year ago, but Americans are logging fewer miles on the road than in recent years.

Yeah. They’re taking transit to the unemployment office.

David Sirota sums it up.

Via Susie.

This is a must-listen. From the website:

We’re told that since consumer activity accounts for 70% of the economy we need to spend yet credit card interest rates are rising and Americans have lest cash to spend. We talk about consumer credit, how it is being impacted by our current economic woes and what the credit crisis means for the average American with Georgetown Law professor ADAM LEVITIN.

Go to the website and search for December 11, 2008, or listen here (Real).

Reuters:

Sales at U.S. retailers fell for a fifth straight month in November, the longest decline in at least 16 years, as gasoline sales tumbled by a record amount, according to government data on Friday.

Sales were down a much more modest 0.2 percent once gasoline sales were excluded as spending on other items, such as electronics, increased.

Meanwhile, down the hall, fourth door on the left, John Cole summarizes Repblican Economic Policy.

Atrios is somewhat more succint.

Fellating the rich, buggering the poor. It’s the Republican way.

Molly I. over at Eschaton sums it up:

Republicans to Detroit: if only you could figure out a way to pay your executives and not your workers, we might help you.

Addendum, Later That Same Day:

A former bankruptcy attorney speaks.

Addendum-de-dum-dum:

Bonddad, here.

Stiglitz.

Via Eschaton.

Grover Norquist on CNN. It’s an oldie but a moldie. Watch as the other panelists dissolve in laughter at his wingnut wankery:

Freakin’ fruitcakes.

H/T Ray who not yet written his hedgefund post for the link.

’nuff said:

Initial claims for state unemployment insurance benefits jumped by

58,000, the biggest increase since September 2005, to a seasonally adjusted 573,000 in the week ended December 6 from an upwardly revised 515,000 the previous week. That was the highest print since November 1982, when 612,000 workers submitted new claims for unemployment benefits.

Via the Booman.

Reuters:

Citigroup, which is trying to cut $50 billion of expenses next year, has decided to stop leasing the elaborate (model train-ed.) display that for two decades has run in the bank’s headquarters building in midtown Manhattan during the holiday season.

The display will be dismantled after the holidays and won’t be back next year.

The savings for Citigroup? About $240,000 in 2009.

$240,000.

This is the same outfit who gave their retiring CEO $29,500,000 last year.

The big banks have been run by empty suits.

Thoughts on an auto bailout:

. . . I am an incredibly reluctant supporter of the bail-out, not because I think it’s a good idea but because letting a US car company go bankrupt would be an incredibly bad idea. As a result, I would attach a ton of conditions to the money. For example, mileage standards would have to improve big-time. The big three’s reliance on the SUV business model would go bye-bye. Executive compensation would have to be cut until the companies showed a profit (personally, I would propose a package and then subtract the total compensation for the last 5 years for the Board of Directors and Executives from the package total because these guys clearly didn’t earn that money). Major financial cuts at all levels would happen. That means executive fly coach and rent compact cars on business trips. Downsizing from a physical plant and personnel perspective is a must. Simply put, the car companies would still have to face major restructuring. It’s simply unavoidable at this point; the US auto industry would look very different when this is all said and done.

The curtain descends:

After 58 years and more than 200 productions, the Baltimore Opera Company will file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy-law protection today amid dwindling ticket sales and contributions.

Via NPR.

Bonddad. Follow the link for the analyses behind his conclusion (emphasis in the original):

. . . for everybody out there who is saying “there is no organized central plan to this problem” — there isn’t one available. There is no book out there that says, “this is how you undo years of financial damage in 3 easy steps.” It just doesn’t exist. There are a lot of armchair economists out there saying this is a bad idea or that is a bad idea. What these people are forgetting is the previously made point — no one has a clear plan on what to do because one doesn’t exist. It’s that simple.

The point of the previous two paragraphs is to point out that we are in clearly uncharted waters in a big way. There are no rules that apply — we’re trying to figure this thing out as we go along. Also remember that no one in the incoming administration has a crystal ball either. While there are a lot of very smart and capable people out, there don’t have the magical “how to fix this crisis in three easy steps” book either. In other words — it’s going to be a long and difficult road going forward.

I wouldn’t want Mr. Obama’s job for the world.

This weekend, I went to Connecticut.

In these parts, that means driving the New Jersey Turnpike, at least if you want to get there the same day you start out (and pray that two vehicles on the NJT don’t try to occupy the same spot at the same time, or you’ll just get to your destination tomorrow).

I’ve driven the NJT many times. From Trenton up until about Exit 11 (the Garden State–any time I’m headed for New England, I take the NJT to the Garden State to the Tappan Zee Bridge–I’m not driving through Manhatten on a bet; a New York City cab is one of the Great Bargains in the World), it is lined with distribution centers warehouses.

The last time I went up that way, a couple or three years ago, all the warehouses were in use and trailers were backed up to the loading bays to discharge and receive loads and commercial developers were building new warehouses on spec.

This time, well, if you want to pick up a vacant warehouse cheap, the NJT corridor is the place to go.

Along about exit 8, NJT separates into car only and car/truck/bus lanes. I usually take the car/truck/bus lanes, because, by God, if I die in a firey crash on the Turnpike, I at least want it to be at the hands of a professional driver, not at the hands of some idiot kid trying to make it from Washington to New York City in 35 minutes.

Funny thing:

I’ve probably made a couple dozen round trips through that part of the turnpike in the past ten years. Usually, weekday or weekend, the car/truck/bus lanes are choked with trucks.

The other day, on my drive north, I saw only a few long-haul truckers; most of the trucks were local delivery guys or local trash haulers.

Today, driving south, for the length of the turnpike from the Holland Tunnel to Trenton, I saw no more than three long-haul truckers. Mostly, the car/truck/bus lanes were like the car only lanes, except more sedate.

No jobs, no money, no credit, no customers.

No customers, no wares.

No wares, no warehouses.

No warehouses, no trucks.

Republican Economic Theory triumphant.

Also posted, with slight edits, at the Great Orange Satan.